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名人面对面

美国再加关税,经济学家一致反对!_我的网站

猩球崛起

一 |     

Ministry of Commerce
    Ministry of Commerce
China on Monday decided to impose anti-dumping tariffs of up to 54.3 percent on imports of pecans (Carya illinoensis) from Mexico and the US in the form of deposits after it ruled preliminarily that imports of pecans from the two countries were dumped in the Chinese market, China's Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) announced.  
The investigating authority found a causal link between the alleged dumping of imports of pecans from Mexico and the US and the injury suffered by Chinese producers. The ministry said it will impose provisional anti-dumping measures in the form of security deposits beginning August 11, 2026, according to an announcement on the ministry's website on Monday.
The dumping margins for Mexican companies were determined to be 17.8 percent to 51.6 percent. Since no US company has responded to the investigation, and in accordance with Chinese law and WTO rules, the dumping margin for all US companies was determined on the basis of the best information available at 54.3 percent, according to a spokesperson of the MOFCOM. 
China launched the anti-dumping investigation into pecan imports from Mexico and the US on September 25, 2025, under its Anti-Dumping Regulations, according to the ministry.
A number of Mexican companies responded to the investigation, but no US companies did so. 
China has always exercised caution and restraint in using trade remedy measures, and remains firmly committed to safeguarding fair and free trade, the MOFCOM spokesperson said on Monday, briefing on the preliminary ruling. China will continue to conduct the investigation in accordance with the law, fully protect the rights of all interested parties, and make an objective and impartial final ruling based on the findings of the investigation, the spokesperson said.
Pecans, also known as American walnuts or thin-shelled walnuts, are used both as snacks and in baking, and can also be processed into edible oil.
The MOFCOM spokesperson said that the ministry has conducted the investigation in accordance with the principles of fairness, impartiality, openness, and transparency, and in strict compliance with relevant Chinese laws and regulations as well as WTO rules.
The ministry said interested parties may submit written comments within 10 days of the announcement.
Global Times
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耶伦4月初来访,表面笑意盈盈,实则来者不善。

二 | 披着经济学的外衣,打的都是政治利益的算盘。我们即使拿出丰富的数据进行反驳,也难以避免美国加征新一轮关税。
我在最近的直播里总结了六年贸易战的教训:

  • 经济学家对新保护主义的反对大多不是源于自由贸易原教旨主义,而是源于美国最近在特朗普执政期间对中国进口商品征收广泛关税后的经验
  • --以及中国不可避免的报复--降低了消费、工资、制造业出口和总福利。贸易战带来的净福利损失与中国冲击带来的净收益形成了鲜明对比
  • 税并没有扭转美国制造业就业岗位减少的趋势,事实上还净损失了工厂的就业岗位。在贸易战期间,少数行业和州的制造业就业出现增长,但增幅非常有限
  • Autor, Dornand Hanson (2021): 中美贸易战成功地抬高了美国产品的价格,但并没有扩大受进口保护行业的就业。没有任何研究证明事后贸易保护主义措施可以帮助因过去的进口竞争而受到伤害的工人。

    三 |

也就是说,即使提出“中国冲击论”,强力主张中国制造业出口造成美国失业的三位学者Autor, Dorn和Hanson,都坚决反对加征关税和贸易保护主义!接下来,我会撰文详细说明六年贸易战对中美企业和家庭带来的伤害,期待大家的关注与转发。

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Published on:21:27:44